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How we beat stats guru Nate Silver – with only 2 days and a $7.56 budget

Posted by Jon Millis

4/15/14 10:00 AM

April is the pinnacle of excitement for American sports fans. Baseball stadiums lift the tarps off freshly groomed fields, NBA and NHL teams begin their playoff quests for championship trophies, and of course: the college basketball world witnesses the last stretch of thrilling (and seemingly unpredictable) postseason play.

The “unpredictability” of the NCAA tournament is one of the primary reasons it’s so entrancing. While sports networks like ESPN employ college basketball “gurus” who form predictions based on some combination of gut feeling and statistics, their historical picks suggest they aren’t much better than the average American in picking tournament outcomes before the games tip off. 

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Topics: Eureqa, Big data, March Madness, Nate Silver

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