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Eureqa vs the Kentucky Derby: Triple the Hat, Triple the Fun

Posted by Jess Lin

5/7/16 1:07 PM

 

After 2 years in a row of coming up roses, we’ve got our sights set on a 3rd year of success with the Kentucky Derby. We’ve got our handicapping data from Brisnet.com and we’ve prepped with plenty of mint juleps (drinks help you bet smarter, right?). Now we’ve spent the past couple days combining Eureqa’s data discovery horsepower with the raw horse power on the track to find out who’ll be in the winner’s circle for the 142nd running of the Kentucky Derby.
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Topics: Eureqa, Kentucky Derby

In the Winner's Circle with Nutonian - Kentucky Derby Recap

Posted by Jess Lin

5/7/15 9:30 AM

The roses have been picked, the hats have been thrown, and just like that, the most exciting two minutes in sports are over. The 141st Kentucky Derby had one of the most talented fields of all time, leading experts to chime in with opinions ranging all across the spectrum of contenders. So with no horse racing experience of our own, a few days for analysis, and our virtual data scientist Eureqa® - how did our predictions do at the 141st Kentucky Derby?

As it turns out, Eureqa did great! Not only did Eureqa correctly predict American Pharoah as the winner, Eureqa also correctly identified three of the top five horses across the wire:

      Predicted Actual
1 American Pharoah           American Pharoah
2 Dortmund Firing Line
3 Materiality Dortmund
4 Danzig Moon Frosted
5 Tencendur Danzig Moon

Victor Espinoza rides American Pharoah to victory. THE ASSOCIATED PRESS

With American Pharoah expected to run in the Preakness Stakes on May 16th, the world is ready for the Triple Crown drought to be broken. While American Pharoah will face new horses and challenges on his way there, Eureqa will help us discover the underlying factors that determine whether this audacious colt has what it takes to become only the 12th winner of the Triple Crown.

Want to join us on the ride? Try out Eureqa yourself and let us know what you find!

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Topics: Eureqa, Kentucky Derby

Nutonian's Predictions for the 2015 Kentucky Derby

Posted by Jess Lin

5/2/15 3:51 PM

While most fans are heading to the Derby dressed in the epitome of southern style (though others are dressed in, well, you can see for yourself), we've been busy here at Nutonian getting our predictions ready for the 141st edition of the Kentucky Derby. Three horses have been scratched in the past two days, which would normally lead to plenty of last minute chaos for amateurs like us, but Machine Intelligence with Eureqa has been helping us stay the course.

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Topics: Eureqa, Kentucky Derby

Derby Did You Know... Eureqa Edition

Posted by Jess Lin

5/1/15 5:30 PM

With the Kentucky Derby just over 24 hours away and Kentucky Oaks kicking off tonight, hype and excitement for tomorrow’s race has been ramping up quickly here at Nutonian. Experts with decades of experience have been busy throwing their hats into the Derby ring, but Eureqa is helping even us amateurs discover the underlying factors that define Kentucky Derby winners. While betting the Derby is certainly a different beast from picking a winner, we’ve had fun comparing how betting odds compare against our models.

So what does Eureqa know that all the experts are missing?

  • Don’t overestimate jockey experience
  • Horse experience may not be as important as you think
  • While half of the field has the same running style, only a few key factors determine which horses will be able to handle the new pressure

 

We’ll post our Kentucky Derby predictions tomorrow before the race, so make sure to come back next week and see how we’ve done!

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Topics: Eureqa, Kentucky Derby

Nutonian’s Hat is Ready for the 2015 Kentucky Derby - Is Yours?

Posted by Jess Lin

4/30/15 3:30 PM

Get ready to swap out your hockey jerseys for your most fabulous hats and put down the Bud Light for some refreshing mint juleps - it’s Derby Time! Here at Nutonian, we're still watching how our predictions for the 2015 Stanley Cup play out, but we’re already champing at the bit for this year’s 141st Kentucky Derby. With last year's success under our belt (top 4 horses across the wire and perfect predictions for #1, #3 and #5!), we’re turning back to Eureqa’s automated model discovery application to help us find the colt that will be running away with this year's blanket of roses.

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Topics: Eureqa, Kentucky Derby

One Hat to Rule Them All

Posted by Jess Lin

5/5/14 5:30 PM

The first jewel of the Triple Crown of thoroughbred horse racing took place this past Saturday, at the 140th Kentucky Derby. While California Chrome was the heavy favorite leading up to this year's Derby, the race is never over till it's over, and standings for the rest of the field could have gone in any direction. Without any prior knowledge of horse racing lore, Eureqa® and Brisnet.com's handicapping data helped us complete beginners predict 4 of the first 5 horses across the finish line.

The Most Exciting Two Minutes in Sports

While the lavish hats and the $2,000 mint juleps always deserve attention at America's most popular horse race, the real stars of the show are the 3 year old colts. California Chrome's cinderella story, combined with Wicked Strong's connection to Boston and New England, drew the second-largest crowd the Kentucky Derby has ever seen. Thousands of experienced and amateur handicappers have been following these 19 colts throughout their racing careers, discovering intimate details about their quirks and characteristics, but were there hidden relationships that no one had accounted for yet?

Once we started running Brisnet.com's unique handicapping data through Nutonian's cognitive computing engine, the answer was clear. I can't deny that my eyes glazed over after looking through 62 different variables and 265 horses, but Eureqa®'s autonomous insights ran into no such obstacle. By uncovering a deep relationship between just 4 key variables, Eureqa® helped us predict the finish of the race.

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Topics: Eureqa, Kentucky Derby, Triple Crown

Is Nutonian’s Hat Big Enough for the Kentucky Derby?

Posted by Jess Lin

5/2/14 2:00 PM

Fresh off our success with this year's March Madness challenge, we decided to keep the streak alive by predicting the winner of the 140th Kentucky Derby. While a crowd of hundreds of thousands of racing enthusiasts, decked out in their most elaborate hats of course, cheers on twenty three-year old colts in "The Most Exciting Two Minutes in Sports," Nutonian will be looking for our winner to come away with his blanket of roses.

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Topics: Eureqa, Kentucky Derby

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